تاثیر مداخلات خارجی بر شکل‌گیری حکمرانی امنیتی منطقه‌ای در غرب آسیا: مطالعه مقایسه‌ای ایران، عربستان سعودی و ترکیه

دهقانی فیروزآبادی, سید جلال; سلیمی, حسین; چگنی زاده, غلامعلی; اکبری, سمیرا

تاثیر مداخلات خارجی بر شکل‌گیری حکمرانی امنیتی منطقه‌ای در غرب آسیا: مطالعه مقایسه‌ای ایران، عربستان سعودی و ترکیه

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

¹ استاد روابط بین الملل دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی

² استاد روابط بین‌الملل دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی

³ دانشیار روابط بین‌الملل دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی

⁴ دانشجوی دکتری روابط بین الملل دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی

چکیده

غرب آسیا همواره توجهات بین‌المللی را از حیث گسترش بی‌سابقه گروه‌های تروریستی از یک‌سو و منازعات داخلی (درون‌دولتی) و منطقه‌ای (بین‌دولتی) از سوی دیگر به خود جلب کرده است. این موضوع باعث شده است تا در این منطقه برخلاف مناطق دیگر مانند اتحادیه اروپا عمدتا دولت‌ها تنها بازیگران امنیتی باشند. به عبارت دیگر، سازمان‌ها و شرکت‌های غیردولتی در زمینه حکمرانی امنیتی منطقه‌ای –سیاستگذاری، تنظیم‌گری، تسهیل‌گری و ارائه خدمات- ایفای نقش نمی‌کنند. عوامل مختلفی بر این مساله تاثیرگذارند که یکی از آن‌ها بهدلیل سابقه تاریخی منفی می‌تواند مداخلات خارجی باشد. براین اساس، سوال اصلی پژوهش حاضر این است که مداخلات خارجی چه تاثیری بر حکمرانی امنیتی منطقه‌ای در غرب آسیا داشته است؟ برای پاسخ به این سوال، سه قدرت منطقه‌ای (ایران، عربستان و ترکیه) مورد مطالعه مقایسه‌ای قرار گرفتند. بنابراین، هدف پژوهش؛ سنجش تاثیر مداخلات خارجی بر حکمرانی امنیتی منطقه‌ای در غرب آسیا است. در این راستا، با استفاده از روش کمی و جمع‌آوری داده‌ها از موسسات مختلف (تحلیل ثانویه)، علاوه بر بررسی رابطه یا همبستگی میان مداخلات خارجی و حکمرانی امنیتی منطقه‌ای، در مسیر تبیین نیز گام برداشته می‌شود. بدینصورت که با بهره‌گیری از نرم‌افزار SPSS نسخه 22 و آزمون رگرسیون خطی تک‌متغیره هم‌زمان (اینتر)، ضریب تاثیر مداخلات خارجی بر ابعاد چهارگانه حکمرانی امنیتی منطقه‌ای شامل پیشگیری، اطمینان (اقناعی)، اجبار و حفاظت (قهری) مورد سنجش قرار می‌گیرد. برابر یافته‌های پژوهش؛ مداخلات خارجی به تنهایی قادر به تبیین تقریبا 39 و 58 درصد از ابعاد به ترتیب پیشگیری و اطمینان حکمرانی امنیتی منطقه‌ای در غرب آسیا بوده است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

The impact of foreign interventions on the formation of regional security governance in the Middle East: a comparative study of Iran, Saudi Arabia and Turkey

نویسندگان [English]

Syed Jalal Dehghani Firoozabadi ¹
Hossein Salimi ²
Gholamali Chegenizadeh ³
samira akbari ⁴

¹ Professor of department of international relations, Allameh Tabataba'i University

² Professor of department of international relations, Allameh Tabataba'i University

³ Associate Professor of International Relations, Allameh Tabatabaei University

⁴ PhD student of International Relations, Allameh Tabataba'i University

چکیده [English]

Middle East has always attracted the center of international attention in terms of the unprecedented expansion of terrorist groups on the one hand and internal (intra-governmental) and regional (inter-governmental) conflicts on the other. This has led to the fact that in the mentioned region, unlike other regions such as the European Union, governments are the only security actors. Various factors influence this issue, one of which can be foreign interventions due to the negative historical record. Based on this, the main question of the current research is what effect did foreign interventions have on regional security governance in Middle East? To answer this question, three regional powers namely Iran, Saudi Arabia and Turkey were studied comparatively. Therefore, the purpose of the article is to measure the impact of foreign interventions on regional security governance in West Asia. In this regard, by using the quantitative method and collecting data from different institutions (secondary analysis), in addition to investigating the relationship or correlation between foreign interventions and regional security governance, steps are also taken in the direction of explanation. Thus, using SPSS version 22 software and simultaneous univariate linear regression test (INTER), the coefficient of influence of external interventions on the four dimensions of regional security governance including prevention, assurance, coercion and protection is measured. The findings of the research have shown that foreign interventions alone have been able to explain approximately 39 and 58 percent of the dimensions of prevention and assurance of regional security governance in Middle East, respectively.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

Regional security governance
foreign interventions
Iran
Saudi Arabia
Türkiye

مراجع

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