نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسنده
دانشجوی دکتری، پژوهشگر مرکز آیندهپژوهی علوم و فناوریهای دفاعی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسنده [English]
This paper presents a comprehensive model designed to analyze and monitor comprehensive threats. US-led conflict front sees Iran's stability as a vital contradiction to its national interests. Therefore, it has always sought to design and implement various threats to overthrow this system. Failure to identify and address these threats will increase the cost to the Islamic Republic of Iran. Early recognition of these threats enables timely confrontation and deterrence. Therefore, it was identified the all-embracing threat elements by the method of library research. A two-dimensional mapping of these elements was made with an interpretive approach. This mapping brings the structural aspects of the threat into the next stages of threat formation. The result of the intersection of these two dimensions is the nine successive houses from thought-forming beliefs of threat to the impulse of threat. Element validity test and threat modeling were performed in a focus group consisting of experts from Strategic and threat studies centers. The validation of the model is also performed by evaluating the threat documents and extracting the vacancies of these threats. This model is currently used in some threat centers. This model can be a good basis for the model of eliciting comprehensive defense strategies that will be addressed in future research.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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