دلیل خروج ایالات متحده آمریکا از توافق هسته ای با ایرانی

شعرباف, جواد; مرادی فر, سعیده; صفری, عسگر

دلیل خروج ایالات متحده آمریکا از توافق هسته ای با ایرانی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

¹ استادیار گروه مطالعات غرب آسیا و آفریقا، دانشگاه تهران

² دکتری روابط بین الملل، دانشگاه اصفهان

³ دکتری روابط بین الملل، دانشگاه گیلان

چکیده

در 18 اردیبهشت 1397 مطابق با 8 می 2018 دونالد ترامپ رییس جمهور ایالات متحده آمریکا از توافق هسته‌ای با ایران که در قالب برنامه جامع اقدام مشترک (برجام) بین ایران و کشورهای 1+5 امضا شده یود خارج شد. پس از خروج ایالات متحده از برجام، برخی ماهیت نظام بین الملل و تحولاتی صورت گرفته در آن و برخی دیگر نیز ماهیت دولت جدید در ایالات متحده و حتی دولت ایران را از عوامل تاثیرگذار در تصمیم‌ دولت ایالات متحده دانستند. با این وجود این پژوهش عنوان می‌کند که سطح سومی را نیز می‌توان برای بررسی دلایل خروج ایالات متحده آمریکا از توافق هسته‌ای با ایران در نظر گرفت که آن هم سطح تحلیل فردی(شخصیت خود دونالد ترامپ) است. این به معنی کم اهمیت جلوه دادن دو سطح دیگر نیست، بلکه نگاه سومی است که جزئیات بیش‌تری را از عوامل منجر شونده به خروج آمریکا از توافق بیان می‌کند. بنابراین دو استدلال مرتبط با هم مطرح می‌شود. اول اینکه ترامپ دارای برخی ویژگی‌های شخصیتی بود که محرک وی برای تصمیم‌های بی پروا بود. روحیه معامله‌گری، جاه-طلبی، واقع بینی و پوپولیست بودن از جمله این ویژگی‌ها است. دوم، تاثیرپذیری دونالد ترامپ ازدیگران به ویژه افرادی که آخرین مشاوره‌ها به وی می‌دادند در تصمیم ترامپ در مورد توافق هسته‌ای با ایران دخیل بود. در این مورد می‌توان به تاثیر پذیری دونالد ترامپ از جان بولتون مشاوره امنیت ملی و مایک پمپئو وزیر خارجه آمریکا که هر دو از مخالفان سرسخت توافق با ایران بودند اشاره کرد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Reason for US withdrawal from Iran nuclear deal

نویسندگان [English]

javad sharbaf ¹
saeedeh moradifar ²
asgar safari ³

¹ Assistant Professor, Department of West Asian and African Studies, University of Tehran

² PhD in International Relations, University of Isfahan

³ PhD in International Relations, University of Guilan,

چکیده [English]

On May 8, 2018, Donald Trump announced his country's withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal struck between Tehran and the 5+1 countries. With the announcement of Donald Trump's decision, the question arose as to what factors contributed to Trump's decision to pull out of the US nuclear deal with Iran. In answering this question, some referred to the nature of the international system and the developments that had taken place, while others emphasized the nature of the new government in the United States and even the government in Iran. Respondents considered two levels of analysis. The international system and the role of the government. However, this study implies that a third level can also be considered to examine the reasons for the United States' exit from the Iran nuclear agreement, namely an individual level. This study has shown that Trump's decision is partly due to Donald Trump himself and his personality. So there are two related arguments. First, Trump has some personality traits that lead him to make unwise decisions. These traits are a dealmaker's mind, ambition, realism, and populism. Second, Donald Trump can be influenced by others, especially those who give him the latest advice. In the case of Iran's nuclear program, the influence of John Bolton and Mike Pompeo can be shown, both of which were strongly against the deal with Iran.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

Nuclear deal
security
Donald Trump
pulling out
sanction

مراجع

فهرست منابع و مآخذ

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