نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استادیار و عضو هیئتعلمی دانشگاه و پژوهشگاه عالی دفاع ملی و تحقیقات راهبردی
2 دکتری آینده‌پژوهی دانشگاه و پژوهشگاه عالی دفاع ملی و تحقیقات راهبردی
3 دانشجوی دکتری دوره اول پژوهش محور امنیت ملی دانشگاه و پژوهشگاه عالی دفاع ملی و تحقیقات راهبردی
4 استادیار و عضو هیئتعلمی دانشگاه امام حسین (ع)
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The Future of Science and Art is the discovery and construction of the future that has witnessed dramatic progress over the past two decades. Future studies in the Department of Biosciences are located where the toolbox can be used to help develop other disciplines.
Techniques that provide futures studies can open new horizons to the security researchers. One of these techniques is the scenario that futurists believe is "describing the environment as alternative futures for ordering thinking in relation to the future.« The scenarios, now describing the possible and possible future, present the future to the decision makers Get acquainted with possible problems and management strategies The purpose of this study is to provide a preliminary explanation of the importance of future study methods with an emphasis on scenario techniques in security studies.
In the meantime, the method of GBN, which is an expert-centered and qualitative method for writing a scenario, is considered by the researchers of this paper because, given the type of data related to security threats and issues, the presentation of strategic recommendations and related techniques during the Conducting focal groups and expert meetings are features that can not be ignored.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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